As Eritrea’s independence day approaches, police forces worldwide are bracing for potential clashes among Eritreans abroad. The 33rd anniversary of Eritrea’s hard-won independence from Ethiopia is expected to see violent protests, with some countries even banning the celebrations. The freedom promised after the long struggle has not materialized, as President Isaias Afwerki has ruled without elections for 33 years, and Eritrea remains without a constitution, free press, or political dissent.
Eritrea’s indefinite military conscription has driven hundreds of thousands to flee, creating a highly militarized society. This diaspora has formed a radical opposition group, Brigade Ni’hamedu, fed up with fragmented exiled opposition and determined to challenge the regime. Their battlegrounds are pro-government national anniversaries and festivals. Violent confrontations have erupted in countries like Canada, Germany, Israel, the Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland, the UK, and the US, with both sides using stones, sticks, and knives. In Tel Aviv, these clashes have led to deaths and severe injuries.
In London, police have released photos of Eritreans wanted for a violent attack at a pro-government event in December. Swiss and Dutch authorities have banned independence day celebrations due to the violence. Robel Asmelash, chairman of Brigade Ni’hamedu’s UK chapter, acknowledges the initial lack of leadership led to violence but now emphasizes awareness of protest laws and coordination with law enforcement.
The Eritrean government has also mobilized its diaspora through the Young People’s Front for Democracy and Justice (YPFDJ), established in 2005. This youth wing aims to counter opposition narratives and has even sent recruits to Eritrea for military training. President Isaias’s 2017 governance system, the “Four Defiance Fronts,” includes a diaspora mobilization component, treating it as an economic zone.
Daniel Teklai, an Eritrean in California, views the diaspora’s remittances as patriotism, not blind allegiance to the regime. He argues that during the Tigray war, most Eritreans abroad, regardless of political views, supported the government, boosting the popularity of national holidays. However, many Blue Revolution supporters, who fled conscription, opposed Eritrea’s involvement in the Tigray conflict, leading to violent protests.
Daniel, co-founder and chairman of One Nation, advocates for democratic change in Eritrea. He believes law and order must prevail, and those committing crimes during protests must be held accountable. He opposes canceling festivals, arguing that surrendering to violence is not the solution.
In summary, Eritrea’s independence day celebrations abroad are marked by violent clashes between pro- and anti-government groups, reflecting deep divisions within the Eritrean diaspora. As these events unfold, law enforcement agencies worldwide remain on high alert to prevent further violence.