In the wake of Azerbaijan’s recent military offensive, which resulted in the seizure of the breakaway territory Nagorno-Karabakh, hundreds of ethnic Armenians are making a desperate exodus to Armenia. Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan expressed grave concerns of ‘ethnic cleansing’ prompting an anticipated mass evacuation from this embattled enclave within Azerbaijan. As tensions rise and geopolitical complexities unfold, the fate of Nagorno-Karabakh’s majority Armenian population becomes a matter of global concern.
A Mass Exodus Begins
As tensions simmered in the aftermath of Azerbaijan’s decisive military operation, an exodus of ethnic Armenians from Nagorno-Karabakh to Armenia is rapidly gaining momentum. The Armenian government confirmed on Sunday that over a thousand people, seeking refuge and safety, had already crossed the border. This migration wave follows Azerbaijan’s recent military victory, marking a pivotal moment in a longstanding conflict that traces its roots back to the dissolution of the Soviet Union.
Pashinyan’s Grave Warning
Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, in a somber address, voiced his apprehensions that approximately 120,000 civilians residing in the South Caucasus region might be compelled to leave their homes. He cited their unwillingness to reside in the part of Azerbaijan now under Baku’s control and, most disturbingly, their fear of ‘the danger of ethnic cleansing.’ Pashinyan’s words, laden with concern for his countrymen, cast a shadow over the future of this embattled region.
Geopolitical Tensions and Moscow’s Role
This mass exodus also reveals the geopolitical complexities of the region. Pashinyan subtly alluded to a strained relationship with Moscow, suggesting that the Russian-led Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO) might be “insufficient” in safeguarding Armenia’s interests. Although CSTO members pledge to protect each other from external threats, Russia, engaged in its own conflict in Ukraine, has refrained from intervening in Armenia’s favor. This shift in dynamics highlights the evolving geopolitical landscape in the South Caucasus.
A Region in Turmoil
As ethnic Armenians flee Nagorno-Karabakh, the world watches with bated breath, acutely aware of the humanitarian crisis unfolding in the South Caucasus. The fate of this majority Armenian population, now under Azerbaijani control, remains a critical concern for Moscow, Washington, Brussels, and the international community at large. While Azerbaijan pledges to safeguard the rights and security of Armenians, the history of animosity between the two groups raises doubts about the future.
Amidst the ongoing turmoil, Armenia’s call for the immediate deployment of a United Nations mission to monitor human rights and security in Nagorno-Karabakh underscores the urgency of the situation. With humanitarian needs escalating and an uncertain future ahead, the world remains vigilant, hoping for a peaceful resolution to a conflict that has endured for generations.